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NetScout Systems

NTCT
71
Software - Infrastructure · Technology
Price
$41.30
+0.46 (+1.13%)
Market Cap
$2.95B
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
71
Winston is happy
A high-quality business with solid fundamentals.

Share count falling — buybacks

4.5% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 75.1M (2022) → 71.7M (2026)

NetScout Systems, Inc. provides service assurance and cybersecurity solutions for protect digital business services against disruptions in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers nGeniusONE management software that enables customers to predict, preempt, and resolve network and service delivery problems, as well as facilitate the optimization and capacity planning of their network infrastructures; and specialized platforms and analytic modules that enable its cust

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-1.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-3.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$159M/ year

Flat (+4% vs prior year)

18.5% of revenue

In line with sector average (15%)

Steady R&D investment year-over-year

Insider Activity

5.5%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$586M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

NetScout Systems's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
72.9%
Premium pricing power — 72.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
9.7%
Modest — 9.7% operating margin
ROCE
1.2%
Weak — 1.2% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+5.3%
Slow sales growth (5.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
+445.7%
Earnings growing fast (445.7% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
308%
Turns 308% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
40.3%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (40.3%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.02
Conservative — low debt load (0.02)
Interest Cover
83.01x
Comfortably covers interest (83.0x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
25.3x
Growth-priced — P/E 25.3

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+10.4
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (25.3 → 15.0)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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