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Newborn Town

9911.HK
78
Software - Application · Technology
Price
HK$8.74
-0.46 (-5.00%)
Market Cap
HK$12.25B
Exchange
Hong Kong Stock Exchange
Winston Score
78
Winston is happy
A high-quality business with solid fundamentals.

Share count rising — dilution

+159.8% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 999.1M (2021) → 2.60B (2025)

Newborn Town Inc. is a Chinese technology company that builds and operates social networking and entertainment apps aimed at users in the Middle East, North Africa, and other emerging markets. Its flagship products include Yalla, a voice-based group chat app, and Yalla Ludo, a casual mobile game built around social interaction. The company focuses on connecting people through audio and gaming experiences, targeting markets that larger Western platforms have largely overlooked.

Newborn Town makes money by selling virtual gifts and in-app items that users purchase to send to each other or use inside games — a model sometimes called "social entertainment." Most of its revenue comes from the Middle East, where it has built a strong local brand and community. Its deep cultural focus on Arabic-speaking users and its established user base in the region give it a meaningful edge over generic global competitors. The key risk is that growth depends heavily on continued user spending in a relatively small geographic footprint.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+31.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong revenue growth

EPS Growth

-50.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$370M/ year

Rising (+10% vs prior year)

5.4% of revenue

Below sector average (15%)

R&D investment increasing — building for the future

Insider Activity

60.4%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$2.9B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Strong grower

Newborn Town is growing revenue at 31% year-over-year. The Winston Score penalises unprofitable companies, but revenue at this pace tells a different story — this is a company still in "build mode."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
55.9%
Premium pricing power — 55.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
10.9%
Modest — 10.9% operating margin
ROCE
16.6%
Strong — 16.6% return on capital

ROIC between 15% and 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns 15 to 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+96.2%
Fast-growing sales (96.2% YoY)
EPS YoY
+66.6%
Earnings growing fast (66.6% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
178%
Turns 178% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
20.8%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (20.8%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.00
Conservative — low debt load (0.00)
Interest Cover
223.91x
Comfortably covers interest (223.9x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
9.5x
Attractive valuation — P/E 9.5

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
+1.2
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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