Nexstar Media Group

NXST

Broadcasting · Communication Services

Price

$183.71

-1.55 (-0.84%)

Market Cap

$5.61B

Exchange

NASDAQ

Winston Score

Winston is serious

Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count falling — buybacks

−30.2% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 44.0M (2021) → 30.7M (2025)

Nexstar Media Group, Inc., a television broadcasting and digital media company, focuses on the acquisition, development, and operation of television stations and interactive community websites and digital media services in the United States. The company offers free programming to television viewing audiences. As of December 31, 2020, it provided sales, programming, and other services through various local service agreements to 37 power television stations owned by independent third parties; and

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin

47.6%

Healthy — 47.6% gross margin

Operating Margin

19.0%

Healthy — 19.0% operating margin

ROCE

1.8%

Weak — 1.8% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY

-4.6%

Shrinking sales (-4.6% YoY)

EPS YoY

-75.4%

Earnings shrinking (-75.4% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency

2/8 quarters

Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion

511%

Turns 511% of profit into real cash

FCF Margin

13.8%

Converts sales into free cash efficiently (13.8%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity

5.63

Heavy debt load (5.63)

Interest Cover

2.26x

Tight — interest eats into profit (2.3x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

36.5x

Pricey — P/E 36.5

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward

+27.7

GROWING

Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (36.5 → 8.8)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield

4.05%

Healthy income — 4.05% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth

+4.8%

Dividend growing modestly (4.8% YoY)

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