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NGL Energy Partners LP

NGL
40
Oil & Gas Midstream · Energy
Price
$15.16
-0.16 (-1.04%)
Market Cap
$1.89B
Winston Score
40
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count falling — buybacks

2.2% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 129.8M (2022) → 127.0M (2026)

NGL Energy Partners is a midstream energy company that moves, stores, and processes oil, water, and natural gas liquids across the United States. Its main business is handling the water that comes up alongside oil during drilling — called produced water — plus transporting crude oil through pipelines. Its customers are oil and gas producers, mainly in the Permian Basin of West Texas and New Mexico.

The company earns money by charging fees each time it handles a certain volume of water or oil, which provides relatively steady cash flow compared to companies that bet directly on commodity prices. NGL operates primarily in the U.S. and is a limited partnership, meaning it distributes much of its cash to unitholders. Its water infrastructure business is a key competitive advantage because pipelines and disposal wells are expensive to duplicate. The main risk is that if oil producers in the Permian Basin slow down drilling activity, volumes moving through NGL's systems would drop, directly hurting revenue.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
20.4%
Thin — 20.4% gross margin
Operating Margin
11.2%
Modest — 11.2% operating margin
ROCE
3.0%
Weak — 3.0% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-39.0%
Shrinking sales (-39.0% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
330%
Turns 330% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
9.2%
Modest free cash flow (9.2%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
4.43
Heavy debt load (4.43)
Interest Cover
1.58x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.6x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
46.7x
Expensive — P/E 46.7

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+28.2
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (46.7 → 18.5)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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