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Nicolet Bankshares

NIC
56
Banks - Regional · Financial Services
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
56
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Nicolet Bankshares is a regional bank holding company based in Green Bay, Wisconsin. It offers everyday banking services like checking and savings accounts, loans, mortgages, and wealth management to individuals and businesses across Wisconsin, Michigan, and Minnesota. The company has grown largely through acquisitions, buying smaller community banks over the years to expand its footprint across the upper Midwest.

Nicolet makes money the traditional banking way — it takes in deposits and lends that money out at higher interest rates, earning the difference, called net interest income. It also collects fees from wealth management and other financial services. With roughly $8 billion in total assets, it is a mid-sized community bank competing against both large national banks and smaller local ones. Its main competitive edge is deep local relationships and a community-focused approach that larger banks often cannot match. The biggest risk the company faces is rising credit losses if the economy slows and borrowers struggle to repay loans.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
46.4%
Healthy — 46.4% gross margin
Operating Margin
18.6%
Healthy — 18.6% operating margin
ROCE
0.8%
Weak — 0.8% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-0.6%
Shrinking sales (-0.6% YoY)
EPS YoY
+5.2%
Modest earnings growth (5.2% YoY)

Single-digit earnings growth — steady but not exciting.

EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
96%
Turns 96% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
23.5%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (23.5%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.08
Conservative — low debt load (0.08)
Interest Cover
0.78x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.8x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
18.4x
no trend
Fair value — P/E 18.4

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+4.4
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (18.4 → 14.0)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.79%
no trend
Small dividend — 0.79% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+13.8%
no trend
Dividend growing fast (13.8% YoY)

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