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NIO

NIO
20
Auto - Manufacturers · Consumer Cyclical
Price
$4.88
-0.11 (-2.20%)
Market Cap
$11.50B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
20
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+44.5% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 1.57B (2021) → 2.27B (2025)

NIO Inc. is a Chinese electric vehicle company that designs and sells battery-powered cars, SUVs, and sedans. Its main customers are middle-to-upper-income consumers in China, though it has begun selling in select European markets. NIO is best known for its battery swap technology, which lets drivers exchange a depleted battery for a fully charged one in about five minutes instead of waiting to recharge.

NIO makes money by selling vehicles directly to consumers, and it also charges fees through its battery-as-a-service (BaaS) subscription, where customers pay monthly to use swappable batteries rather than owning them outright. The company operates primarily in China, one of the world's most competitive EV markets, where it competes against BYD, Li Auto, and Tesla. NIO is not yet profitable, and its biggest challenge is reaching the sales volume needed to cover its heavy spending on manufacturing, battery swap infrastructure, and new model development.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+112.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

+93.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$10.3B/ year

Declining (-21% vs prior year)

12.1% of revenue

3.0x the sector average (4%)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

19.9%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Runway

~7 months

$34.2B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Revenue accelerating

NIO grew revenue 112% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
19.0%
Thin — 19.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
-1.2%
Losing money on operations — -1.2%
ROCE
-1.6%
Weak — -1.6% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+48.1%
Fast-growing sales (48.1% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
-16.4%
Burning cash (-16.4%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
3.38
Heavy debt load (3.38)
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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