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Annaly Capital Management

NLY
52
REIT - Mortgage · Real Estate
Price
$23.01
-0.41 (-1.75%)
Market Cap
$16.86B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
52
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+79.5% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 357.1M (2021) → 641.0M (2025)

Annaly Capital Management is one of the largest mortgage real estate investment trusts (mREITs) in the United States. Instead of owning physical buildings, it invests in mortgage-backed securities — essentially bundles of home loans — along with other mortgage-related assets. Its "customers" are really the broader housing finance market, and it plays a behind-the-scenes role in helping fund American homeownership.

Annaly makes money by borrowing at short-term interest rates and investing in longer-term mortgage assets that pay higher rates, pocketing the difference called the "net interest spread." It operates almost entirely in the U.S. and is one of the biggest players in its space, with over $70 billion in assets. Because its profits depend heavily on the gap between short- and long-term interest rates, rising or unpredictable rate environments are its biggest ongoing risk — when that spread narrows, earnings can fall quickly.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

3 trades / 12mo

1 Congressional buy and 2 sells on NLY in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+9.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+120.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong earnings growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.2%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Runway

5+ years

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

$131.8B cash & investments at current burn rate

Growth context

Annaly Capital Management is growing revenue at 10% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
98.9%
Premium pricing power — 98.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
95.8%
Excellent — 95.8% operating margin
ROCE
1.2%
Weak — 1.2% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+8.0%
Steady sales growth (8.0% YoY)
EPS YoY
+235.8%
Earnings growing fast (235.8% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
-25%
Weak — only -25% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
-23.1%
Burning cash (-23.1%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
7.18
Heavy debt load (7.18)
Interest Cover
1.44x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.4x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
7.7x
Attractive valuation — P/E 7.7

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
+0.3
GROWING
Earnings roughly flat

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
12.84%
Healthy income — 12.84% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
+5.6%
Dividend growing modestly (5.6% YoY)

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