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Northern Minerals Limited logo

Northern Minerals Limited

NOURF
13
Industrial Materials · Basic Materials
Price
$0.02
+0.00 (+0.00%)
Market Cap
$149.8M
Exchange
Other OTC
Winston Score
13
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.
Based on the IPO prospectus (annual filing). This score will refine automatically once the company reports its first quarters.

Share count rising — dilution

+67.1% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 4.53B (2021) → 7.57B (2025)

Northern Minerals Limited is an Australian mining company focused on developing rare earth elements, particularly heavy rare earths like dysprosium and terbium. These materials are used to make powerful magnets found in electric vehicles, wind turbines, and defense equipment. The company's main project is the Browns Range deposit in Western Australia, which is one of the few heavy rare earth projects outside of China.

The company earns revenue by producing and selling rare earth carbonate concentrate, though it is still in an early stage of development and spends far more than it earns. Northern Minerals operates primarily in Australia and is considered a small-cap miner with a market cap around $200 million. Its potential competitive advantage lies in being a non-Chinese source of heavy rare earths, which Western governments are actively trying to secure — but the main risk is that the company continues to burn cash and must raise more money to fund full-scale production.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-67.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+48.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (3%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

53.6%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Runway

~6 months

$24M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Cash watch

Northern Minerals Limited has less than a year of cash at its current burn rate. Growth investors should watch for potential share dilution from future fundraising — that directly reduces your ownership.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
100.0%
Premium pricing power — 100.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
-1758.2%
Losing money on operations — -1758.2%
ROCE
-152.0%
Weak — -152.0% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-67.7%
Shrinking sales (-67.7% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
N/A
Data not available

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
-1812.1%
Burning cash (-1812.1%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
8.86
Heavy debt load (8.86)
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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