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Northern Oil and Gas

NOG
30
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Energy
Price
$21.19
+0.83 (+4.08%)
Market Cap
$2.31B
Winston Score
30
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+57.7% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 63.0M (2021) → 99.3M (2025)

Northern Oil and Gas is an oil and gas company that owns small ownership stakes in hundreds of oil and natural gas wells across the United States. Instead of running its own drilling operations, it partners with larger energy companies — called operators — who do the actual drilling and day-to-day work. The company focuses mainly on the Williston Basin in North Dakota and Montana, the Permian Basin in Texas, and the Appalachian region.

Northern Oil and Gas makes money by collecting its share of revenue from oil and natural gas sales based on its ownership percentage in each well. It operates entirely in the U.S. and generates roughly $1.5 billion in annual revenue. Its unusual "non-operator" business model keeps costs low since it avoids the heavy expenses of running drilling equipment, but it also means the company depends heavily on its partners to make good decisions. The biggest risk the company faces is falling oil and gas prices, which directly reduce its income since it sells a commodity with no control over the market price.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

2 trades / 12mo

0 Congressional buys and 2 sells on NOG in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-6.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-476.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

6.0%ownership

Rising

Insiders increasing their stake — aligned with shareholders

Cash Runway

~0 months

$37M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Cash watch

Northern Oil and Gas has less than a year of cash at its current burn rate. Growth investors should watch for potential share dilution from future fundraising — that directly reduces your ownership.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

Each metric is explained in plain language so you know exactly what you're looking at. Start your free trial now.

Quality

Gross Margin
32.9%
Modest — 32.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
28.6%
Excellent — 28.6% operating margin
ROCE
3.6%
Weak — 3.6% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-6.8%
Shrinking sales (-6.8% YoY)
EPS YoY
-197.1%
Earnings shrinking (-197.1% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
-36.4%
Burning cash (-36.4%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.43
Elevated debt (1.43)
Interest Cover
3.13x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.1x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
10.10%
Healthy income — 10.10% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
+3.4%
Dividend growing modestly (3.4% YoY)

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