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Northwest Natural Holding Company

NWN
47
Regulated Gas · Utilities
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
47
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Northwest Natural Holding Company distributes natural gas to homes and businesses across Oregon and southwest Washington. It is one of the oldest natural gas utilities in the western United States, serving roughly 800,000 customers through an extensive network of underground pipelines. The company also has a small water utility business serving communities in the Pacific Northwest and other states.

Northwest Natural earns most of its revenue by charging customers a regulated rate for delivering natural gas, set by state utility commissions rather than open markets. This regulation limits competition but also caps how much profit the company can earn, making revenue relatively stable and predictable. The company operates almost entirely in the Pacific Northwest, giving it a regional monopoly in its service areas. The key risk it faces is long-term decline in natural gas demand, as more customers and regulators push toward electric heating and appliances to reduce carbon emissions.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-0.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+9.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow EPS growth

Insider Activity

0.6%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$108M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Northwest Natural Holding Company's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
52.0%
Healthy — 52.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
44.7%
Excellent — 44.7% operating margin
ROCE
5.2%
Weak — 5.2% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+5.9%
Slow sales growth (5.9% YoY)
EPS YoY
+18.7%
Earnings growing fast (18.7% YoY)

Healthy double-digit earnings growth — what compounders look like.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
167%
Turns 167% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
-21.2%
Burning cash (-21.2%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.65
Elevated debt (1.65)
Interest Cover
3.49x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.5x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
16.9x
no trend
Fair value — P/E 16.9

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+2.4
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
3.96%
no trend
Moderate income — 3.96% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+0.5%
no trend
Dividend flat

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