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Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending

NCDL
39
Asset Management · Financial Services
Price
$12.82
+0.29 (+2.31%)
Market Cap
$633.1M
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
39
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 9, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026

Share count rising — dilution

+291.4% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 12.8M (2021) → 50.3M (2025)

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. is a business development company (BDC) that lends money directly to mid-sized private businesses in the United States. Instead of going through a bank, these companies borrow directly from NCDL to fund things like acquisitions, growth, or buyouts. NCDL is managed by Churchill Asset Management, which is part of the larger Nuveen investment firm, giving it access to a well-established deal network.

NCDL makes money by charging interest on the loans it makes, primarily floating-rate loans to middle-market companies. It operates almost entirely in the U.S. and has a portfolio worth roughly in line with its small-cap size of around $0.6 billion in market value. As a BDC, it is required to pay out most of its income as dividends to shareholders, which makes dividend sustainability a key concern — especially if interest rates fall or borrowers start struggling to repay their loans.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+16.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

-100.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

14.6%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$5M cash & investments

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 16%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
0.0%
Thin — 0.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
0.0%
Thin — 0.0% operating margin
ROCE
0.0%
Weak — 0.0% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-23.7%
Shrinking sales (-23.7% YoY)
EPS YoY
-57.3%
Earnings shrinking (-57.3% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
1/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
277%
Turns 277% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
80.0%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (80.0%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Interest Cover
0.64x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.6x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
14.6x
Attractive valuation — P/E 14.6

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+6.7
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (14.6 → 7.9)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
13.61%
Healthy income — 13.61% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
+15.9%
Dividend growing fast (15.9% YoY)

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