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NVR

NVR
40
Residential Construction · Consumer Cyclical
Price
$6490.04
-211.06 (-3.15%)
Market Cap
$17.52B
Winston Score
40
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count falling — buybacks

20.5% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 3.9M (2021) → 3.1M (2025)

NVR builds and sells new homes to families across the United States under the Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and Heartland Homes brands. The company focuses on single-family houses, townhomes, and condominiums in growing suburban markets, primarily serving first-time homebuyers and move-up buyers. NVR is one of the largest homebuilders in America, operating mainly in the Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, and Southeast regions.

The company makes money by selling completed homes directly to buyers, typically earning a profit margin on each house after covering land, materials, and construction costs. NVR operates in about 15 states and builds roughly 20,000 homes per year, with a business model that uses less capital than competitors by often buying land only when a home sale is secured. The company's growth depends heavily on mortgage rates, local job markets, and housing demand, making it sensitive to economic cycles that can quickly reduce buyer activity.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

9 trades / 12mo

5 Congressional buys and 4 sells on NVR in the last 12 months.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
21.6%
Thin — 21.6% gross margin
Operating Margin
12.0%
Healthy — 12.0% operating margin
ROCE
5.1%
Weak — 5.1% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-8.1%
Shrinking sales (-8.1% YoY)
EPS YoY
-16.4%
Earnings shrinking (-16.4% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
101%
Turns 101% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
12.7%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (12.7%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.26
Conservative — low debt load (0.26)
Interest Cover
54.56x
Comfortably covers interest (54.6x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
15.0x
Attractive valuation — P/E 15.0

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
-3.0
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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