The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.
Diluted shares outstanding: 1.76B (2021) → 1.72B (2025)
Origin Energy Limited, an integrated energy enterprise established in 1946 and headquartered in Barangaroo, Australia, operates across the entire energy value chain. The company is engaged in the exploration and production of natural gas, electricity generation, wholesale and retail distribution of electricity and gas, and the sale of liquefied natural gas (LNG) both within Australia and internationally. Origin's business is structured into three primary divisions: Energy Markets, Integrated Gas, and Corporate. Its natural gas exploration and production assets are situated in various Australian basins, including the Bowen and Surat basins in Queensland, the Browse basin in Western Australia, and the Beetaloo basin in the Northern Territory. The company's electricity generation portfolio is diverse, encompassing power plants fueled by coal, wind, pumped hydro storage, solar, and cogeneration technologies. Beyond fundamental energy sales, Origin offers eco-friendly GreenPower and green gas alternatives, and supplies LPG to both residential and commercial customers. Additionally, it provides a range of home climate control and water heating solutions, such as electric and gas hot water systems, split-system air conditioners, various ducted and space heating options, ducted evaporative cooling systems, and ducted reverse cycle air conditioning units.
When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.
-9.9% YoY
YoY Growth Rate
Revenue declining
-44.1% YoY
YoY Growth Rate
Earnings declining
$0/ year
0.0% of revenue
Below sector average (1%)
Research and development spending
Cash flow positive
$8.5B cash & investments
Quarterly Free Cash Flow
→ Burn rate stable
Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising
Origin Energy Limited's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.
The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.
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ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.
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Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.
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FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.
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Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.
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P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.
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Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.
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