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Old Dominion Freight Line

ODFL
51
Trucking · Industrials
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
51
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. operates as a less-than-truckload (LTL) motor carrier in the United States and North America. It provides regional, inter-regional, and national LTL services, including expedited transportation. The company also offers various value-added services, such as container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting. As of December 31, 2021, it owned and operated 10,403 tractors, 27,917 linehaul trailers, and 13,303 pickup and delivery trailers; 3 fleet mai

Winston Score History

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
27.7%
Modest — 27.7% gross margin
Operating Margin
23.8%
Excellent — 23.8% operating margin
ROCE
7.1%
Weak — 7.1% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-4.8%
Shrinking sales (-4.8% YoY)
EPS YoY
-10.6%
Earnings shrinking (-10.6% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
140%
Turns 140% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
18.7%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (18.7%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.01
Conservative — low debt load (0.01)
Interest Cover
2260.25x
Comfortably covers interest (2260.3x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
47.7x
no trend
Expensive — P/E 47.7

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+16.8
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (47.7 → 30.9)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.49%
no trend
Small dividend — 0.49% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+5.6%
no trend
Dividend growing modestly (5.6% YoY)

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