Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings

OLLI

Discount Stores · Consumer Defensive

Price

$66.51

-0.45 (-0.67%)

Market Cap

$4.02B

Exchange

NASDAQ

Winston Score

Winston is curious

A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count falling — buybacks

−4.8% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 64.9M (2022) → 61.8M (2026)

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of brand name merchandise. The company offers housewares, bed and bath, food, floor coverings, health and beauty aids, books and stationery, toys, and electronics; and other products, including hardware, candy, clothing, sporting goods, pet and lawn, and garden products. It provides its products primarily under the Ollie's, Ollie's Bargain Outlet, Good Stuff Cheap, Ollie's Army, Real Brands Real Cheap!, Real Brands! Real Bargains, Sara

Winston Score History

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2 trades / 12mo

0 Congressional buys and 2 sells on OLLI in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

For growth stock investors

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+16.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+25.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady EPS growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (2%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.4%ownership

→ Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$260M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 17%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin

36.0%

Modest — 36.0% gross margin

Operating Margin

14.3%

Healthy — 14.3% operating margin

ROCE

5.6%

Weak — 5.6% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY

+18.0%

Fast-growing sales (18.0% YoY)

EPS YoY

+25.2%

Earnings growing fast (25.2% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency

6/8 quarters

Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion

159%

Turns 159% of profit into real cash

FCF Margin

11.5%

Modest free cash flow (11.5%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity

0.06

Conservative — low debt load (0.06)

Interest Cover

100.00x

—

Comfortably covers interest (100.0x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

15.6x

Fair value — P/E 15.6

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward

-0.9

SLOWING

Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.

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