OPAL Fuels (OPAL) Stock Analysis & Winston Score

OPAL Fuels Inc. engages in the production and distribution of renewable natural gas for use as a vehicle fuel for heavy and medium-duty trucking fleets. It also designs, develops, constructs, operates, and services fueling stations for trucking fleets that use natural gas to displace diesel as transportation fuel. In addition, it offers design, development, and construction services for hydrogen fueling stations. Further, the company generates and sells renewable power to utilities. As of May 1,

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

For growth stock investors

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-14.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-998.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

40.1%ownership

→ Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Runway

~3 years

$134M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

$134M cash & investments at current burn rate

Revenue declining

OPAL Fuels's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin

19.5%

Thin — 19.5% gross margin

Operating Margin

-3.5%

Losing money on operations — -3.5%

ROCE

-0.6%

Weak — -0.6% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY

+4.0%

Slow sales growth (4.0% YoY)

EPS YoY

+168.4%

Earnings growing fast (168.4% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency

4/8 quarters

Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion

129%

Turns 129% of profit into real cash

FCF Margin

-17.5%

Burning cash (-17.5%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity

54.41

Heavy debt load (54.41)

Interest Cover

0.05x

Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.0x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

34.4x

no trend

Pricey — P/E 34.4

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward

+27.5

GROWING

Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (34.4 → 6.9)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.

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