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Orange County Bancorp

OBT
71
Banks - Regional · Financial Services
Price
$37.56
-0.92 (-2.39%)
Market Cap
$503.6M
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
71
Winston is happy
A high-quality business with solid fundamentals.

Share count rising — dilution

+25.9% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 9.9M (2021) → 12.5M (2025)

Orange County Bancorp is a community bank holding company based in Middletown, New York. It serves individuals, small businesses, and local organizations in the Hudson Valley and surrounding areas of New York State through its subsidiary, Orange Bank & Trust Company. The bank offers everyday financial products like checking and savings accounts, mortgages, business loans, and wealth management services.

The company makes money primarily by collecting interest on loans and earning fees on banking services — a traditional model where it borrows money cheaply through deposits and lends it out at higher rates. With roughly $2 billion in assets, it operates as a smaller regional bank focused almost entirely on the New York metro area. Its local relationships and community focus give it some advantage over larger national banks, but its small size and geographic concentration also mean it is more exposed to economic slowdowns in a single region. Rising interest rates and credit quality in its loan portfolio remain the key variables to watch.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-5.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+10.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady EPS growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

20.1%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$258M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Orange County Bancorp's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
81.1%
Premium pricing power — 81.1% gross margin
Operating Margin
30.3%
Excellent — 30.3% operating margin
ROCE
3.2%
Weak — 3.2% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+8.0%
Steady sales growth (8.0% YoY)
EPS YoY
+41.1%
Earnings growing fast (41.1% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
111%
Turns 111% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
29.9%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (29.9%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.12
Conservative — low debt load (0.12)
Interest Cover
1.74x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.7x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
11.0x
Attractive valuation — P/E 11.0

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
-0.0
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.78%
Small dividend — 1.78% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
-9.5%
Dividend cut (-9.5% YoY) — warning sign

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