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Orbital Corporation Limited

OEC.AX
8
Aerospace & Defense · Industrials
Price
A$0.15
+0.01 (+11.11%)
Market Cap
A$25.5M
Exchange
Australian Securities Exchange
Winston Score
8
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.
Data as of Jul 26, 2026 · filings through Dec 31, 2025

Share count rising — dilution

+94.9% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 80.3M (2021) → 156.5M (2025)

Orbital Corporation Limited is an Australian aerospace and defense company that designs and builds propulsion systems and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), commonly known as drones. Its main products include heavy-fuel engines and integrated drone platforms sold to defense customers, including military organizations and government agencies. The company operates in the growing unmanned systems market, where reliable propulsion technology is a key differentiator.

Orbital earns revenue through contracts and development programs, typically working with defense clients on project-based agreements rather than recurring subscriptions. It is a small-cap company based in Perth, Australia, with operations focused primarily on the Asia-Pacific defense market. The negative gross and operating margins reflect a business still in an early, investment-heavy phase — the key risk is that Orbital must secure larger, sustained defense contracts to reach profitability, and delays or cancellations in government procurement programs could significantly strain its finances.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-58.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-527.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.0%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$2M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

→ Burn rate stable

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Orbital Corporation Limited's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
-41.0%
Thin — -41.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
-73.4%
Losing money on operations — -73.4%
ROCE
-28.9%
Weak — -28.9% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-26.0%
Shrinking sales (-26.0% YoY)
EPS YoY
-520.4%
Earnings shrinking (-520.4% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
-0.3%
Burning cash (-0.3%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.25
Conservative — low debt load (0.25)
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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