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Origin Bancorp

OBK
55
Banks - Regional · Financial Services
Price
$52.27
-0.91 (-1.71%)
Market Cap
$1.62B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
55
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count rising — dilution

+31.6% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 23.6M (2021) → 31.1M (2025)

Origin Bancorp is a regional bank headquartered in Ruston, Louisiana. It offers everyday banking services like checking and savings accounts, loans, and mortgages to individuals, small businesses, and mid-sized companies. The bank operates primarily across Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas, serving communities that larger national banks often overlook.

Origin makes money by collecting interest on loans and charging fees for banking services. With roughly $10 billion in total assets, it is a mid-sized community bank competing on local relationships and personalized service rather than scale. Its main competitive edge comes from deep ties to the communities it serves, which helps it attract and keep customers. The key risk is that rising interest rates or a slowdown in the regional economy — particularly in energy-dependent Louisiana — could increase loan defaults and pressure profit margins.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
66.9%
Premium pricing power — 66.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
23.8%
Excellent — 23.8% operating margin
ROCE
2.7%
Weak — 2.7% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-2.2%
Shrinking sales (-2.2% YoY)
EPS YoY
+5.7%
Modest earnings growth (5.7% YoY)

Single-digit earnings growth — steady but not exciting.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
219%
Turns 219% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
27.5%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (27.5%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.02
Conservative — low debt load (0.02)
Interest Cover
0.54x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.5x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
20.1x
Growth-priced — P/E 20.1

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+7.1
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (20.1 → 13.0)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.36%
Small dividend — 1.36% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+16.7%
Dividend growing fast (16.7% YoY)

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