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PBF Energy

PBF
39
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · Energy
Price
$62.75
+1.81 (+2.97%)
Market Cap
$7.42B
Winston Score
39
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count falling — buybacks

6.3% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 122.6M (2021) → 114.9M (2025)

PBF Energy takes crude oil and turns it into useful products like gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and heating oil. It sells these refined fuels to gas stations, trucking companies, airlines, and other industrial customers across the United States. PBF is one of the largest independent oil refiners in the country, operating refineries in states including California, New Jersey, Louisiana, Ohio, and Delaware.

PBF makes money by buying crude oil, refining it, and selling the finished products at a higher price — the difference is called the "crack spread," and that margin drives almost all of its revenue. The company operates entirely in the U.S. and processes roughly 900,000 barrels of oil per day across its six refineries. Refining is a low-margin, commodity-driven business with very thin profits, as the gross margin near 1% shows, and the biggest risk PBF faces is a narrowing crack spread caused by falling fuel demand or rising crude oil costs.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
6.1%
Thin — 6.1% gross margin
Operating Margin
5.0%
Thin — 5.0% operating margin
ROCE
4.6%
Weak — 4.6% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-4.3%
Shrinking sales (-4.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
59%
Weak — only 59% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
-2.3%
Burning cash (-2.3%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.55
Conservative — low debt load (0.55)
Interest Cover
4.55x
Adequate interest coverage (4.6x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
16.6x
Fair value — P/E 16.6

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+4.5
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (16.6 → 12.1)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
2.30%
Moderate income — 2.30% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+2.3%
Dividend flat

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