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Peabody Energy Corporation

BTU
17
Coal · Energy
Price
$22.44
-0.18 (-0.80%)
Market Cap
$2.73B
Winston Score
17
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+8.8% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 112.0M (2021) → 121.8M (2025)

Peabody Energy is one of the largest coal mining companies in the world. It digs coal out of the ground and sells it to power plants that generate electricity, as well as to steel mills that need a special type of coal called metallurgical coal to make steel. The company operates mines across the United States and Australia.

Peabody makes money by selling the coal it mines, with revenue depending heavily on how much coal it produces and what price coal fetches in the market. Those prices swing a lot, which is why margins can turn negative in weaker years. The company has some competitive advantage from owning large, established mines with long reserve lives, but it faces a serious long-term risk: governments and utilities around the world are actively moving away from coal toward cleaner energy sources, which could permanently shrink demand for its core product over time.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+3.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-196.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

6.5%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Runway

~16 months

$493M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Adequate runway but may need to raise capital within 2 years

Growth context

Peabody Energy Corporation is growing revenue at 4% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
11.2%
Thin — 11.2% gross margin
Operating Margin
-4.7%
Losing money on operations — -4.7%
ROCE
-1.2%
Weak — -1.2% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-7.0%
Shrinking sales (-7.0% YoY)
EPS YoY
-135.1%
Earnings shrinking (-135.1% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
3.1%
Thin free cash flow (3.1%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.09
Conservative — low debt load (0.09)
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.34%
Small dividend — 1.34% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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