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Pembina Pipeline Corporation

PPLAF
43
Oil & Gas Midstream · Energy
Price
$18.55
-0.03 (-0.16%)
Market Cap
$10.79B
Exchange
Other OTC
Winston Score
43
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+5.6% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 551.0M (2021) → 582.0M (2025)

Pembina Pipeline Corporation is a Canadian energy infrastructure company that moves oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids from where they are produced to where they are processed or sold. Its main services include pipelines, storage facilities, and processing plants, with customers that are primarily energy producers operating in western Canada, especially in Alberta and British Columbia. Pembina is one of Canada's largest midstream companies, owning thousands of kilometers of pipelines across the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin.

Pembina earns most of its revenue through long-term, fee-based contracts, meaning it gets paid for moving and handling energy products regardless of whether commodity prices are high or low. This contract structure gives the business relatively stable and predictable cash flows, which is a key competitive advantage. The company operates almost entirely in Canada and trades on the Toronto Stock Exchange, with its U.S. listing being a foreign share. The main growth driver is expanding its infrastructure to serve growing liquefied natural gas export demand, while its main risk is a slowdown in Canadian energy production.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
38.5%
Modest — 38.5% gross margin
Operating Margin
32.4%
Excellent — 32.4% operating margin
ROCE
2.2%
Weak — 2.2% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-6.4%
Shrinking sales (-6.4% YoY)
EPS YoY
-13.0%
Earnings shrinking (-13.0% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
164%
Turns 164% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
26.0%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (26.0%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.79
Moderate — manageable debt (0.79)
Interest Cover
4.13x
Adequate interest coverage (4.1x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
6.7x
Attractive valuation — P/E 6.7

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
+1.3
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
3.99%
Moderate income — 3.99% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+1.3%
Dividend flat

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