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Penumbra

PEN
62
Medical - Devices · Healthcare
Price
$318.32
-1.28 (-0.40%)
Market Cap
$12.52B
Winston Score
62
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count rising — dilution

+3.7% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 37.9M (2021) → 39.3M (2025)

Penumbra makes medical devices used by doctors to treat serious conditions involving blood clots and bleeding in the brain and body. Its main products are tools that remove dangerous clots from blood vessels — a process called thrombectomy — as well as devices used in neurosurgery and vascular surgery. The company sells primarily to hospitals and surgical centers, competing in the medical device industry alongside larger players like Medtronic and Stryker.

Penumbra earns revenue by selling its devices directly to hospitals, with no subscription model — each procedure requires its specialized, single-use tools. It operates mainly in the United States but has a growing international presence, and its strong 67% gross margin reflects the pricing power that comes from highly specialized, physician-trusted products. The key growth driver is expanding use of mechanical thrombectomy for stroke treatment, as clinical guidelines increasingly support the procedure, though the main risk is competition from larger, better-funded medical device companies entering the same market.

Winston Score History

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1 trades / 12mo

1 Congressional buy and 0 sells on PEN in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+15.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

-18.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$90M/ year

Declining (-5% vs prior year)

6.4% of revenue

Below sector average (18%)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

2.8%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$241M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Penumbra is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 16%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
67.6%
Premium pricing power — 67.6% gross margin
Operating Margin
10.2%
Modest — 10.2% operating margin
ROCE
2.3%
Weak — 2.3% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+17.3%
Fast-growing sales (17.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
+294.6%
Earnings growing fast (294.6% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
162%
Turns 162% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
14.6%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (14.6%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.15
Conservative — low debt load (0.15)
Interest Cover
284.83x
Comfortably covers interest (284.8x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
72.7x
Expensive — P/E 72.7

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+21.0
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (72.7 → 51.7)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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