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Performance Food Group

PFGC
28
Food Distribution · Consumer Defensive
Winston Score
28
Winston is worried
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Performance Food Group (PFG) is one of the largest food distributors in the United States. It buys food and related products from thousands of manufacturers and delivers them to restaurants, schools, hospitals, hotels, and convenience stores. The company operates through three main segments: Foodservice, Vistar (which supplies vending machines and movie theaters), and the convenience store distribution business it expanded through acquisitions.

PFG makes money by buying products in bulk and reselling them at a markup, keeping a thin slice of each sale as profit — a model reflected in its low gross margins. The company operates primarily across the U.S. and generates roughly $60 billion in annual revenue, making it one of the top three broadline distributors alongside Sysco and US Foods. Its scale and dense delivery network create some cost advantages, but the business runs on very tight margins, meaning rising fuel costs, labor expenses, or a slowdown in restaurant traffic could quickly pressure profitability.

Winston Score History

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+6.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-28.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

1.9%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$46M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Performance Food Group is growing revenue at 6% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
10.6%
Thin — 10.6% gross margin
Operating Margin
1.0%
Thin — 1.0% operating margin
ROCE
1.6%
Weak — 1.6% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+5.2%
Slow sales growth (5.2% YoY)
EPS YoY
-21.2%
Earnings shrinking (-21.2% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
699%
Turns 699% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
2.4%
Thin free cash flow (2.4%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.16
Elevated debt (1.16)
Interest Cover
2.00x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (2.0x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
52.1x
no trend
Expensive — P/E 52.1

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+35.9
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (52.1 → 16.2)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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