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Persimmon

PSMMY
34
Residential Construction · Consumer Cyclical
Price
$29.12
-0.48 (-1.62%)
Market Cap
$4.67B
Exchange
Other OTC
Winston Score
34
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+1.1% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 160.1M (2021) → 161.9M (2025)

Persimmon is one of the largest homebuilders in the United Kingdom. The company designs and builds new homes for everyday buyers, from first-time purchasers to families looking for larger properties. It operates under several brands, including Persimmon Homes and Charles Church, which targets the higher-end market.

Persimmon makes money by buying land, building houses on it, and selling those homes at a profit. It operates entirely within the UK, completing around 10,000 homes per year in recent years. The company's large land bank — plots of land it already owns or controls — gives it a cost advantage over smaller rivals, since securing land early at lower prices protects margins. The biggest risk Persimmon faces is sensitivity to UK interest rates and mortgage availability, because when borrowing becomes expensive, fewer people can afford to buy new homes, which directly reduces the number of houses the company can sell.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+18.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+18.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady EPS growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

1.4%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$143M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Persimmon is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 19%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
14.0%
Thin — 14.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
11.6%
Modest — 11.6% operating margin
ROCE
7.1%
Weak — 7.1% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+5.3%
Slow sales growth (5.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
-32.2%
Earnings shrinking (-32.2% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
20%
Weak — only 20% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
0.5%
Thin free cash flow (0.5%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.00
Conservative — low debt load (0.00)
Interest Cover
14.41x
Comfortably covers interest (14.4x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
8.4x
Attractive valuation — P/E 8.4

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
-5.5
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
5.62%
Healthy income — 5.62% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
-43.8%
Dividend cut (-43.8% YoY) — warning sign

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