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Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras logo

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras

PBR
69
Oil & Gas Integrated · Energy
Price
$17.97
+0.50 (+2.86%)
Market Cap
$115.81B
Exchange
United States
Winston Score
69
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count falling — buybacks

1.2% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 6.52B (2021) → 6.44B (2025)

Petrobras is Brazil's national oil and gas company. It finds oil and natural gas deep under the ocean floor, pulls it out, refines it into fuels like gasoline and diesel, and sells those fuels to businesses and consumers across Brazil. The company is one of the largest oil producers in the world and is a pioneer in deepwater drilling technology, operating some of the most productive offshore oil fields ever discovered — known as the "pre-salt" fields off Brazil's coast.

The Brazilian government owns a majority stake in Petrobras, which gives it both political backing and political risk. The company earns money by selling crude oil, refined fuels, and natural gas, mostly within Brazil but also through exports. With gross margins near 47%, its low-cost pre-salt fields give it a real cost advantage over many global peers. The biggest risk is government interference — past administrations have forced the company to sell fuel below market prices, which badly damaged profits, and that policy risk has not fully gone away.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
46.1%
Healthy — 46.1% gross margin
Operating Margin
20.8%
Excellent — 20.8% operating margin
ROCE
5.1%
Weak — 5.1% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-0.7%
Shrinking sales (-0.7% YoY)
EPS YoY
+171.9%
Earnings growing fast (171.9% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
177%
Turns 177% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
17.8%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (17.8%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.35
Conservative — low debt load (0.35)
Interest Cover
199.77x
Comfortably covers interest (199.8x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
5.8x
Attractive valuation — P/E 5.8

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
+0.9
GROWING
Earnings roughly flat

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
7.51%
Healthy income — 7.51% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
-16.4%
Dividend cut (-16.4% YoY) — warning sign

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