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Portillo's

PTLO
32
Restaurants · Consumer Cyclical
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
32
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Portillo's Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the ownership and operation of fast casual and quick service restaurants in the United States. The company offers Chicago-style hot dogs and sausages, Italian beef sandwiches, char-grilled burgers, chopped salads, crinkle-cut French fries, homemade chocolate cakes, and chocolate cake shakes. As of March 10, 2022, it operated in 70 locations across nine states. The company also offers its products through its website. Portillo's Inc. was

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+3.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-110.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

7.0%ownership

→ Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Runway

~7 years

$24M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

$24M cash & investments at current burn rate

Growth context

Portillo's is growing revenue at 4% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
19.1%
Thin — 19.1% gross margin
Operating Margin
2.5%
Thin — 2.5% operating margin
ROCE
0.5%
Weak — 0.5% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+2.4%
Nearly flat sales (2.4% YoY)
EPS YoY
-49.1%
Earnings shrinking (-49.1% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
520%
Turns 520% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
-1.2%
Burning cash (-1.2%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.75
Moderate — manageable debt (0.75)
Interest Cover
1.97x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (2.0x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
19.6x
no trend
Fair value — P/E 19.6

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
-6.3
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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