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Prosperity Bancshares

PB
60
Banks - Regional · Financial Services
Price
$73.49
-1.24 (-1.66%)
Market Cap
$7.41B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
60
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count rising — dilution

+2.0% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 92.7M (2021) → 94.5M (2025)

Prosperity Bancshares is a regional bank holding company based in Houston, Texas. It offers everyday banking services like checking and savings accounts, loans, and mortgages to individuals, small businesses, and companies across Texas and Oklahoma. It is one of the larger community-focused banks in Texas, built largely through acquiring smaller local banks over the decades.

The company makes money the traditional banking way — it collects deposits from customers and earns interest by lending that money out, keeping the difference as profit. With roughly 300 branches concentrated in Texas, Prosperity benefits from the state's strong population and business growth, which supports loan demand. Its main competitive edge is a low-cost deposit base and disciplined expense management, which helps it stay profitable even when interest rates shift. The key risk is that falling interest rates would compress its net interest margin, directly squeezing the income it earns on loans.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
70.1%
Premium pricing power — 70.1% gross margin
Operating Margin
37.3%
Excellent — 37.3% operating margin
ROCE
1.4%
Weak — 1.4% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-3.4%
Shrinking sales (-3.4% YoY)
EPS YoY
+5.1%
Modest earnings growth (5.1% YoY)

Single-digit earnings growth — steady but not exciting.

EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
105%
Turns 105% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
30.0%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (30.0%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.30
Conservative — low debt load (0.30)
Interest Cover
1.41x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.4x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
13.3x
Attractive valuation — P/E 13.3

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+0.5
GROWING
Earnings roughly flat

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
3.36%
Moderate income — 3.36% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+3.5%
Dividend growing modestly (3.5% YoY)

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