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Quad/Graphics

QUAD
44
Specialty Business Services · Industrials
Price
$8.64
-0.11 (-1.26%)
Market Cap
$445.5M
Winston Score
44
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count falling — buybacks

5.8% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 53.0M (2021) → 49.9M (2025)

Quad/Graphics is a large commercial printing company based in the United States. It prints magazines, catalogs, retail inserts, books, and direct mail pieces for brands, retailers, and publishers. The company is one of the largest print service providers in North America, and it has expanded into marketing services to help clients manage their advertising campaigns beyond just printing.

Quad makes money by charging clients for printing jobs, paper, and related services like mailing, logistics, and marketing strategy. It operates mainly in the United States, with some international facilities, and generates roughly $2.5 billion in annual revenue. Its main competitive advantage is its large printing infrastructure and ability to bundle print with marketing services, which makes it harder for clients to switch. The biggest risk the company faces is the long-term decline in print advertising demand, as brands continue shifting marketing budgets toward digital channels.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
18.0%
Thin — 18.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
4.5%
Thin — 4.5% operating margin
ROCE
4.1%
Weak — 4.1% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-10.4%
Shrinking sales (-10.4% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
333%
Turns 333% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
1.9%
Thin free cash flow (1.9%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
3.98
Heavy debt load (3.98)
Interest Cover
2.47x
Tight — interest eats into profit (2.5x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
15.2x
Fair value — P/E 15.2

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+8.3
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (15.2 → 6.9)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
4.15%
Healthy income — 4.15% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
+40.0%
Dividend growing fast (40.0% YoY)

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