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Radian Group

RDN
62
Insurance - Specialty · Financial Services
Price
$39.38
+0.24 (+0.61%)
Market Cap
$5.24B
Winston Score
62
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count falling — buybacks

27.5% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 190.3M (2021) → 138.0M (2025)

Radian Group is an insurance company that helps people buy homes with smaller down payments. When a homebuyer puts down less than 20% of a home's price, lenders usually require private mortgage insurance (PMI) — and Radian is one of the largest providers of that insurance in the United States. If a borrower stops making payments and the lender loses money, Radian covers part of that loss.

Radian makes money by collecting insurance premiums from mortgage lenders and borrowers over the life of a loan. It operates almost entirely in the United States and competes in a small industry with only a handful of licensed private mortgage insurers, which limits new competition. The biggest risk Radian faces is a rise in mortgage defaults — if home prices fall sharply or unemployment climbs, more borrowers could stop paying, leading to higher claims that eat into profits.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

2 trades / 12mo

0 Congressional buys and 2 sells on RDN in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+46.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

-8.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

1.8%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$55M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue accelerating

Radian Group grew revenue 47% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
76.9%
Premium pricing power — 76.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
37.2%
Excellent — 37.2% operating margin
ROCE
2.9%
Weak — 2.9% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+9.5%
Steady sales growth (9.5% YoY)
EPS YoY
+4.0%
Modest earnings growth (4.0% YoY)

Single-digit earnings growth — steady but not exciting.

EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
60%
Weak — only 60% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
23.9%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (23.9%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.26
Conservative — low debt load (0.26)
Interest Cover
11.76x
Comfortably covers interest (11.8x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
9.5x
Attractive valuation — P/E 9.5

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
+2.7
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
2.94%
Moderate income — 2.94% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+2.0%
Dividend flat

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