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Rayonier

RYN
40
REIT - Specialty · Real Estate
Price
$21.80
-0.35 (-1.58%)
Market Cap
$3.37B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
40
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+9.2% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 145.3M (2021) → 158.7M (2025)

Rayonier is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns and manages timberlands — large forests used to grow trees for lumber and other wood products. The company sells timber to sawmills, paper manufacturers, and other wood-processing businesses, and it also sells or leases land for real estate development. Rayonier owns roughly 2.7 million acres of timberland, primarily in the U.S. South, the Pacific Northwest, and New Zealand.

Rayonier makes money by harvesting and selling timber, collecting rent from land leases, and selling parcels of land outright — particularly higher-value properties near growing coastal markets. As a REIT, it is required to distribute most of its taxable income to shareholders as dividends. The company's main competitive advantage is its large, geographically diverse land base, which is difficult to replicate. The key risk is that timber prices are tied closely to housing market activity, so a slowdown in home construction can quickly reduce revenue and pressure margins.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
-3.5%
Thin — -3.5% gross margin
Operating Margin
-16.5%
Losing money on operations — -16.5%
ROCE
-0.6%
Weak — -0.6% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-38.5%
Shrinking sales (-38.5% YoY)
EPS YoY
+27.2%
Earnings growing fast (27.2% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
57%
Weak — only 57% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
30.2%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (30.2%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.39
Conservative — low debt load (0.39)
Interest Cover
0.97x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.0x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
7.2x
Attractive valuation — P/E 7.2

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
-40.1
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
11.51%
Healthy income — 11.51% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
+98.9%
Dividend growing fast (98.9% YoY)

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