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Redwire

RDW
21
Aerospace & Defense · Industrials
Price
$8.45
+0.00 (+0.00%)
Market Cap
$2.02B
Winston Score
21
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+90.7% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 62.7M (2021) → 119.5M (2025)

Redwire Corporation builds hardware and technology for spacecraft and space stations. Its products include solar arrays, deployable structures, and 3D printing systems used in microgravity — the kind of equipment that keeps satellites powered and space stations running. Its main customers are NASA, the U.S. Department of Defense, and commercial space companies.

Redwire earns money through government contracts and commercial agreements, selling both hardware and engineering services. The company operates primarily in the United States and Europe, following its acquisition of several European space firms. It is a relatively small player in the broader aerospace industry, competing against much larger defense contractors. The key risk is clear in its financials: Redwire is not yet profitable, with deeply negative operating margins, meaning it spends significantly more than it earns — and its growth depends heavily on winning and executing large government contracts in an industry where delays and cost overruns are common.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+56.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

+58.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$20M/ year

Rising (+222% vs prior year)

5.9% of revenue

In line with sector average (4%)

R&D investment increasing — building for the future

Insider Activity

48.4%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Runway

~11 months

$95M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Revenue accelerating

Redwire grew revenue 56% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
9.6%
Thin — 9.6% gross margin
Operating Margin
-75.0%
Losing money on operations — -75.0%
ROCE
-6.5%
Weak — -6.5% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+10.3%
Steady sales growth (10.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
-57.2%
Burning cash (-57.2%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.19
Conservative — low debt load (0.19)
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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