Republic Services

RSG

Waste Management · Industrials

Price

$222.31

-2.20 (-0.98%)

Market Cap

$68.40B

Winston Score

Winston is curious

A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count falling — buybacks

−2.4% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 319.4M (2021) → 311.9M (2025)

Republic Services picks up trash, recycling, and hazardous waste for millions of homes and businesses across the United States. The company runs garbage trucks, transfer stations, recycling centers, and landfills — and it is the second-largest waste management company in the country, behind only Waste Management, Inc.

Republic makes money by charging customers regular fees to collect and dispose of their waste, which creates a steady, subscription-like stream of revenue. It operates in 41 states and serves roughly 13 million customers, ranging from households to large industrial clients. The business has a strong moat because landfills are extremely hard to build — permits take years and local opposition is common — which protects Republic from new competitors. The main growth driver is expanding its environmental services segment, including handling more industrial and hazardous waste, but rising costs for fuel, labor, and equipment remain a persistent risk to profit margins.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

18 trades / 12mo

5 Congressional buys and 13 sells on RSG in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

For growth stock investors

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+2.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+7.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow EPS growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

36.2%ownership

→ Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$118M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Republic Services is growing revenue at 3% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin

30.5%

Modest — 30.5% gross margin

Operating Margin

20.2%

Excellent — 20.2% operating margin

ROCE

6.6%

Weak — 6.6% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY

+3.2%

Slow sales growth (3.2% YoY)

EPS YoY

+5.3%

Modest earnings growth (5.3% YoY)

Single-digit earnings growth — steady but not exciting.

EPS Consistency

6/8 quarters

Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion

207%

Turns 207% of profit into real cash

FCF Margin

15.5%

Converts sales into free cash efficiently (15.5%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity

0.05

Conservative — low debt load (0.05)

Interest Cover

5.73x

Adequate interest coverage (5.7x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

31.8x

Pricey — P/E 31.8

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward

+7.5

GROWING

Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (31.8 → 24.4)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield

1.15%

Small dividend — 1.15% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth

+7.8%

Dividend growing modestly (7.8% YoY)

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