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Rexford Industrial Realty

REXR
61
REIT - Industrial · Real Estate
Price
$37.46
-0.12 (-0.32%)
Market Cap
$8.67B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
61
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count rising — dilution

+66.0% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 140.1M (2021) → 232.6M (2025)

Rexford Industrial Realty is a real estate company that owns and rents out warehouse and industrial buildings. Their tenants are businesses that need space to store goods, ship products, or run light manufacturing operations. Rexford focuses entirely on Southern California, one of the busiest logistics markets in the United States due to its major ports and large consumer population.

Rexford makes money by collecting rent from tenants on long-term leases, which is the standard model for industrial REITs. The company owns roughly 400 properties concentrated in infill locations — meaning land-constrained areas inside dense urban zones where it is very hard to build new competing warehouses. This scarcity of available land gives Rexford pricing power when leases come up for renewal. However, the company's heavy concentration in a single region means it is exposed to California-specific risks, including economic slowdowns, high operating costs, and any long-term shift in trade flows through West Coast ports.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-2.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+26.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

3.9%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$176M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Rexford Industrial Realty's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
76.8%
Premium pricing power — 76.8% gross margin
Operating Margin
41.0%
Excellent — 41.0% operating margin
ROCE
0.9%
Weak — 0.9% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+1.4%
Nearly flat sales (1.4% YoY)
EPS YoY
-26.6%
Earnings shrinking (-26.6% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
229%
Turns 229% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
21.6%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (21.6%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.39
Conservative — low debt load (0.39)
Interest Cover
4.37x
Adequate interest coverage (4.4x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
41.2x
Pricey — P/E 41.2

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+9.5
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (41.2 → 31.7)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
5.13%
Healthy income — 5.13% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
+2.1%
Dividend flat

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