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Riley Exploration Permian

REPX
59
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Energy
Price
$35.00
+0.26 (+0.75%)
Market Cap
$759.4M
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange American
Winston Score
59
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count rising — dilution

+32.3% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 16.0M (2021) → 21.2M (2025)

Riley Exploration Permian is an oil and natural gas company that drills for and produces hydrocarbons in the Permian Basin, which sits across West Texas and southeastern New Mexico. It focuses on a specific area called the Northwest Shelf of the Permian, targeting oil-rich rock formations underground. The company sells crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids to energy marketers and midstream companies.

Riley makes money by selling the oil and gas it pulls out of the ground, so its revenue rises and falls with commodity prices. It operates entirely within the United States, concentrated in a relatively small geographic footprint, which keeps costs focused but limits diversification. With a market cap around $0.7 billion, it is a small producer competing against much larger Permian operators like Pioneer and Diamondback. The main risk the company faces is that a sustained drop in oil or natural gas prices would quickly compress margins and reduce cash available to fund new drilling.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
47.5%
Healthy — 47.5% gross margin
Operating Margin
38.3%
Excellent — 38.3% operating margin
ROCE
5.5%
Weak — 5.5% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-2.3%
Shrinking sales (-2.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
-39.1%
Earnings shrinking (-39.1% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
339%
Turns 339% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
16.6%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (16.6%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.43
Conservative — low debt load (0.43)
Interest Cover
4.07x
Adequate interest coverage (4.1x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
12.2x
Attractive valuation — P/E 12.2

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+8.8
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (12.2 → 3.4)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
4.75%
Healthy income — 4.75% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
+5.3%
Dividend growing modestly (5.3% YoY)

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