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Rithm Capital

RITM
33
Financial - Diversified · Financial Services
Also trades as: 0K76.L
Price
$10.19
+0.25 (+2.52%)
Market Cap
$5.69B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
33
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 9, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026

Share count rising — dilution

+20.7% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 467.7M (2021) → 564.7M (2025)

Rithm Capital is a real estate finance company that lends money to homebuyers and manages mortgage-related investments. Its main businesses include originating and servicing home loans, meaning it helps people get mortgages and then collects their monthly payments on behalf of investors. It operates through well-known brands like Newrez, one of the larger mortgage servicers in the United States.

Rithm makes money from fees earned on servicing mortgages, gains from selling loans, and income from its portfolio of mortgage-backed securities. It operates primarily in the United States and has a servicing portfolio of over $600 billion in unpaid loan balances, which gives it significant scale. As a mortgage REIT, it is sensitive to interest rate changes — when rates rise, mortgage origination volumes tend to fall, which is the central risk the business faces going forward.

Winston Score History

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+3.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-92.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.4%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$2.5B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Rithm Capital is growing revenue at 4% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
63.8%
Premium pricing power — 63.8% gross margin
Operating Margin
0.5%
Thin — 0.5% operating margin
ROCE
0.0%
Weak — 0.0% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+7.3%
Steady sales growth (+7.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
-53.8%
Earnings shrinking (-53.8% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
-520%
Weak — only -520% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
-43.5%
Burning cash (-43.5%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.66
Moderate — manageable debt (0.66)
Interest Cover
0.83x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.8x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
16.7x
Fair value — P/E 16.7

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+12.4
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (16.7 → 4.3)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
10.12%
Healthy income — 10.12% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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