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Saab AB (publ) logo

Saab AB (publ)

SAABY
58
Aerospace & Defense · Industrials
Price
$29.72
+0.25 (+0.85%)
Market Cap
$32.02B
Exchange
Other OTC
Winston Score
58
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count rising — dilution

+1.2% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 1.07B (2021) → 1.08B (2025)

Saab AB is a Swedish defense and aerospace company that builds military equipment for governments and armed forces. Its most well-known products include the Gripen fighter jet, the Carl-Gustaf reusable rocket launcher, and the GlobalEye airborne surveillance system. Saab also makes submarines, radar systems, and training aircraft, selling primarily to Sweden's military and dozens of allied nations worldwide.

Saab earns money through long-term government contracts for weapons systems, maintenance services, and defense upgrades — the kind of deals that often run for many years. The company operates mainly in Europe but has customers across North America, Asia, and the Middle East, with a market cap around $31.7 billion. Its deep ties to the Swedish government and NATO-aligned nations give it a stable customer base, and rising defense budgets across Europe following the Russia-Ukraine conflict are a significant near-term growth driver. The main risk is that large defense contracts can be delayed or cancelled due to political decisions or budget shifts.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+28.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

+39.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$3.6B/ year

Rising (+29% vs prior year)

4.6% of revenue

In line with sector average (4%)

R&D investment increasing — building for the future

Insider Activity

65.5%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Runway

5+ years

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

$12.8B cash & investments at current burn rate

Revenue accelerating

Saab AB (publ) grew revenue 29% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
22.6%
Thin — 22.6% gross margin
Operating Margin
10.9%
Modest — 10.9% operating margin
ROCE
4.7%
Weak — 4.7% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+25.7%
Fast-growing sales (25.7% YoY)
EPS YoY
+35.3%
Earnings growing fast (35.3% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
204%
Turns 204% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
7.5%
Modest free cash flow (7.5%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.18
Conservative — low debt load (0.18)
Interest Cover
12.21x
Comfortably covers interest (12.2x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
4.5x
Attractive valuation — P/E 4.5

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.39%
Small dividend — 0.39% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
-77.9%
Dividend cut (-77.9% YoY) — warning sign

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