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Saab AB logo

Saab AB

SAABF
60
Aerospace & Defense · Industrials
Price
$58.51
+4.99 (+9.32%)
Market Cap
$31.00B
Exchange
Other OTC
Winston Score
60
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count rising — dilution

+1.2% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 533.2M (2021) → 539.8M (2025)

Saab AB is a Swedish defense and security company that makes military equipment for governments and armed forces. Its most well-known products include the Gripen fighter jet, the Carl-Gustaf recoilless rifle, and the GlobalEye airborne surveillance system. Saab also builds submarines, radar systems, and electronic warfare tools, selling primarily to Sweden's military and dozens of allied nations worldwide.

Saab earns money through long-term government contracts for weapons systems, maintenance, and upgrades, which tend to be sticky and predictable. The company operates mainly in Europe but has growing sales in the United States, Brazil, and Southeast Asia, with a market cap around $27 billion. Its close relationship with the Swedish government and deep integration into NATO-aligned defense programs give it a durable competitive position. The key growth driver is rising defense budgets across Europe following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, though long production cycles and supply chain constraints could limit how quickly Saab can scale output to meet demand.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+21.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+12.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady EPS growth

R&D Spend

$3.6B/ year

Rising (+29% vs prior year)

4.6% of revenue

In line with sector average (4%)

R&D investment increasing — building for the future

Insider Activity

30.1%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Runway

5+ years

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

$22.0B cash & investments at current burn rate

Growth context

Saab AB is growing revenue at 21% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
23.4%
Thin — 23.4% gross margin
Operating Margin
10.0%
Modest — 10.0% operating margin
ROCE
3.5%
Weak — 3.5% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+26.1%
Fast-growing sales (26.1% YoY)
EPS YoY
+38.0%
Earnings growing fast (38.0% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
196%
Turns 196% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
6.4%
Modest free cash flow (6.4%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.21
Conservative — low debt load (0.21)
Interest Cover
12.76x
Comfortably covers interest (12.8x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
4.9x
Attractive valuation — P/E 4.9

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
+2.6
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.44%
Small dividend — 0.44% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
-66.3%
Dividend cut (-66.3% YoY) — warning sign

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