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Safehold

SAFE
54
REIT - Diversified · Real Estate
Price
$17.10
-0.07 (-0.41%)
Market Cap
$1.22B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
54
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+27.8% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 56.2M (2021) → 71.8M (2025)

Safehold Inc. is a real estate company that specializes in something called "ground leases." A ground lease means Safehold owns the land underneath a building, while someone else owns and operates the building on top. Its customers are real estate developers and property owners across the United States who use this structure to free up cash by selling their land to Safehold while keeping control of their buildings.

Safehold makes money by collecting long-term lease payments from building owners, often for 99-year terms, which creates very predictable income. The company operates primarily in major U.S. cities and has a portfolio worth several billion dollars in ground lease assets. Its moat comes from being the dominant, scaled player in a niche that most traditional landlords do not focus on. The main risk is that rising interest rates make Safehold's long-duration leases less attractive to investors, which has already pressured its stock and balance sheet in recent years.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

1 trades / 12mo

1 Congressional buy and 0 sells on SAFE in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+7.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-2.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

22.6%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Runway

5+ years

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

$3.9B cash & investments at current burn rate

Growth context

Safehold is growing revenue at 7% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
98.2%
Premium pricing power — 98.2% gross margin
Operating Margin
69.6%
Excellent — 69.6% operating margin
ROCE
1.0%
Weak — 1.0% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+6.1%
Slow sales growth (6.1% YoY)
EPS YoY
+8.9%
Earnings growing (8.9% YoY)

Single-digit earnings growth — steady but not exciting.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
27%
Weak — only 27% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
7.7%
Modest free cash flow (7.7%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.89
Elevated debt (1.89)
Interest Cover
0.96x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.0x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
10.8x
Attractive valuation — P/E 10.8

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+1.5
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
4.32%
Healthy income — 4.32% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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