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Saratoga Investment

SAR
24
Asset Management · Financial Services
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
24
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.

Saratoga Investment Corp. is a business development company (BDC) that lends money to mid-sized private businesses in the United States. It focuses on companies that are too small to borrow from big public markets but need capital to grow or fund acquisitions. Saratoga acts like a bank for these smaller businesses, mostly providing loans rather than buying ownership stakes.

Saratoga makes money by collecting interest on the loans it makes, passing most of that income back to shareholders as dividends — which is required by law for BDCs. It operates entirely in the U.S. and manages roughly $1 billion in assets, which is relatively small compared to larger BDC peers. Its competitive position depends on relationships with private equity sponsors and its ability to carefully pick borrowers, but rising interest rates or an economic slowdown could push more of its borrowers into default, which is the main risk the business faces.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-14.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-245.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

13.7%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Runway

~3 years

$1.1B cash & investments

$1.1B cash & investments at current burn rate

Revenue declining

Saratoga Investment's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
15.7%
Thin — 15.7% gross margin
Operating Margin
-5.0%
Losing money on operations — -5.0%
ROCE
-0.1%
Weak — -0.1% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-13.0%
Shrinking sales (-13.0% YoY)
EPS YoY
-95.9%
Earnings shrinking (-95.9% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
-5256%
Weak — only -5256% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
-162.5%
Burning cash (-162.5%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.84
Elevated debt (1.84)
Interest Cover
0.71x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.7x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
167.6x
no trend
Expensive — P/E 167.6

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+157.8
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (167.6 → 9.8)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
15.74%
no trend
Healthy income — 15.74% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
no trend
Dividend flat

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