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Saul Centers

BFS
49
REIT - Retail · Real Estate
Price
$36.65
+0.06 (+0.16%)
Market Cap
$899.0M
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
49
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+2.4% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 23.7M (2021) → 24.2M (2025)

Saul Centers is a real estate company that owns and operates shopping centers, mostly in the Washington, D.C. and Baltimore metro areas. Its properties are anchored by grocery stores, drugstores, and everyday retailers — the kinds of shops people visit regularly, not just for special occasions. The company is structured as a real estate investment trust, or REIT, meaning it owns the buildings and collects rent from tenants.

Saul Centers makes money by leasing space to retailers, restaurants, and service businesses. It operates a relatively small portfolio of around 60 properties, concentrated almost entirely in the mid-Atlantic region, which gives it deep local knowledge but limited geographic diversification. Its focus on necessity-based, grocery-anchored centers provides some protection against e-commerce pressure, since people still need to buy groceries in person. The main risk is its heavy dependence on a single metro market, meaning a regional economic slowdown could hit the company harder than more geographically diversified retail REITs.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+8.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-10.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

44.7%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$9M cash & investments

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Saul Centers is growing revenue at 9% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
69.1%
Premium pricing power — 69.1% gross margin
Operating Margin
15.4%
Healthy — 15.4% operating margin
ROCE
0.6%
Weak — 0.6% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+8.1%
Steady sales growth (8.1% YoY)
EPS YoY
+3.4%
Modest earnings growth (3.4% YoY)

Single-digit earnings growth — steady but not exciting.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
268%
Turns 268% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
33.3%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (33.3%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
5.29
Heavy debt load (5.29)
Interest Cover
1.76x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.8x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
24.1x
Growth-priced — P/E 24.1

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
-22.9
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
6.28%
Healthy income — 6.28% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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