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Select Medical Holdings Corporation

SEM
41
Medical - Care Facilities · Healthcare
Price
$16.51
-0.01 (-0.09%)
Market Cap
$2.05B
Winston Score
41
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count falling — buybacks

5.2% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 130.2M (2021) → 123.5M (2025)

Select Medical operates a large network of hospitals and outpatient clinics across the United States. The company runs two main types of facilities: long-term acute care hospitals, which treat seriously ill patients who need weeks of intensive medical care, and rehabilitation hospitals, which help patients recover from strokes, injuries, and surgeries. It also operates thousands of outpatient physical and occupational therapy clinics under the Concentra and Select Physical Therapy brands.

The company earns money by billing patients, private insurers, and government programs like Medicare and Medicaid for the care it provides. Select Medical operates in more than 40 states, making it one of the larger specialty hospital operators in the country. Its scale and established referral relationships with acute-care hospitals give it a degree of competitive stability, but thin margins leave the business exposed to reimbursement rate cuts from Medicare, which remains the single biggest risk to its financial performance going forward.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+5.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-18.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (18%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

21.5%ownership

Rising

Insiders increasing their stake — aligned with shareholders

Cash Runway

~1 months

$26M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Cash watch

Select Medical Holdings Corporation has less than a year of cash at its current burn rate. Growth investors should watch for potential share dilution from future fundraising — that directly reduces your ownership.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
12.3%
Thin — 12.3% gross margin
Operating Margin
6.9%
Modest — 6.9% operating margin
ROCE
2.6%
Weak — 2.6% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+29.2%
Fast-growing sales (29.2% YoY)
EPS YoY
-19.3%
Earnings shrinking (-19.3% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
259%
Turns 259% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
2.1%
Thin free cash flow (2.1%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.17
Elevated debt (1.17)
Interest Cover
2.76x
Tight — interest eats into profit (2.8x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
15.1x
Fair value — P/E 15.1

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+1.6
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.51%
Small dividend — 1.51% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
-33.3%
Dividend cut (-33.3% YoY) — warning sign

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