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Smurfit Westrock

SW
37
Packaging & Containers · Consumer Cyclical
Winston Score
37
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Smurfit WestRock is one of the largest paper-based packaging companies in the world. It makes corrugated cardboard boxes, containerboard, and other paper packaging used to ship and store goods. Its customers include consumer goods companies, food and beverage brands, e-commerce retailers, and industrial businesses that need packaging to move products.

The company earns revenue by selling packaging materials and finished boxes directly to businesses, operating across North America, Europe, Latin America, and beyond. The 2024 merger of Ireland-based Smurfit Kappa and U.S.-based WestRock created a global giant with roughly $34 billion in annual revenue, giving it significant scale advantages over smaller rivals. However, the business is sensitive to economic cycles — when consumer spending slows, demand for shipping boxes drops, and the company's low operating margin leaves little cushion against falling prices or rising input costs like energy and recycled fiber. Integrating two large companies while managing that debt load is the central challenge ahead.

Winston Score History

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-12.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-82.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

0.7%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Runway

~5 months

$674M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Cash watch

Smurfit Westrock has less than a year of cash at its current burn rate. Growth investors should watch for potential share dilution from future fundraising — that directly reduces your ownership.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

Each metric is explained in plain language so you know exactly what you're looking at. Start your free trial now.

Quality

Gross Margin
16.4%
Thin — 16.4% gross margin
Operating Margin
4.0%
Thin — 4.0% operating margin
ROCE
1.4%
Weak — 1.4% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+22.9%
Fast-growing sales (22.9% YoY)
EPS YoY
-41.6%
Earnings shrinking (-41.6% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
905%
Turns 905% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
3.4%
Thin free cash flow (3.4%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.05
Conservative — low debt load (0.05)
Interest Cover
2.24x
Tight — interest eats into profit (2.2x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
62.2x
no trend
Expensive — P/E 62.2

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+50.0
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (62.2 → 12.3)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
3.90%
no trend
Moderate income — 3.90% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+20.4%
no trend
Dividend growing fast (20.4% YoY)

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