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Starwood Property Trust

STWD
58
REIT - Mortgage · Real Estate
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
58
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Starwood Property Trust is a real estate finance company that lends money to property owners and developers instead of owning buildings directly. It provides loans and other financing for commercial real estate projects like office buildings, hotels, apartments, and industrial properties across the United States and Europe. It is one of the largest commercial mortgage REITs in the United States.

The company makes money primarily from the interest it earns on its loans, plus income from a smaller portfolio of properties it owns and infrastructure lending. Because it is structured as a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), it must pay out at least 90% of its taxable income as dividends to shareholders. Its main competitive advantage is its connection to Starwood Capital Group, a large private investment firm that gives it deal flow and expertise. The key risk the company faces is rising credit losses if borrowers struggle to repay loans, particularly in the troubled commercial office sector, which has faced weak demand since the pandemic.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+22.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

-54.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

4.9%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Runway

5+ years

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

$24.1B cash & investments at current burn rate

Growth context

Starwood Property Trust is growing revenue at 23% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
75.2%
Premium pricing power — 75.2% gross margin
Operating Margin
67.5%
Excellent — 67.5% operating margin
ROCE
1.2%
Weak — 1.2% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+7.6%
Steady sales growth (7.6% YoY)
EPS YoY
+10.6%
Earnings growing (10.6% YoY)

Healthy double-digit earnings growth — what compounders look like.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
237%
Turns 237% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
22.9%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (22.9%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
3.47
Heavy debt load (3.47)
Interest Cover
1.10x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.1x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
16.0x
no trend
Fair value — P/E 16.0

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+6.2
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (16.0 → 9.8)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
11.65%
no trend
Healthy income — 11.65% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
no trend
Dividend flat

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