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Suncor Energy

SU
52
Oil & Gas Integrated · Energy
Price
$62.43
+1.75 (+2.88%)
Market Cap
$73.71B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
52
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count falling — buybacks

18.1% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 1.49B (2021) → 1.22B (2025)

Suncor Energy is a Canadian oil and gas company that mines oil sands in Alberta, Canada, and turns that raw material into fuels like gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. It sells those fuels to everyday drivers, airlines, and industrial customers, mostly across Canada and the United States. Suncor also owns a large network of Petro-Canada gas stations, making it one of Canada's most recognizable energy brands.

Suncor makes money by extracting and upgrading oil sands into synthetic crude, refining it into finished fuels, and selling those fuels at both wholesale and retail levels. This integrated model — controlling the process from the ground to the gas pump — helps protect profits when oil prices shift. The company operates almost entirely in North America and generates tens of billions in annual revenue. The biggest risk it faces is the high cost of oil sands production, which makes earnings sensitive to drops in global crude oil prices.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+25.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

+30.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.1%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$3.3B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

→ Burn rate stable

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue accelerating

Suncor Energy grew revenue 25% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
48.8%
Healthy — 48.8% gross margin
Operating Margin
18.8%
Healthy — 18.8% operating margin
ROCE
5.2%
Weak — 5.2% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+2.7%
Nearly flat sales (2.7% YoY)
EPS YoY
+9.3%
Earnings growing (9.3% YoY)

Single-digit earnings growth — steady but not exciting.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
206%
Turns 206% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
13.9%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (13.9%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.22
Conservative — low debt load (0.22)
Interest Cover
18.59x
Comfortably covers interest (18.6x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
11.8x
Attractive valuation — P/E 11.8

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+5.0
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (11.8 → 6.8)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
3.06%
Moderate income — 3.06% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+6.1%
Dividend growing modestly (6.1% YoY)

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