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Suzano S.A.

SUZ
38
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products · Basic Materials
Price
$8.21
+0.01 (+0.12%)
Market Cap
$10.15B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
38
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count falling — buybacks

8.1% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 1.35B (2021) → 1.24B (2025)

Suzano is a Brazilian company that makes pulp and paper products. Pulp is the raw material used to produce things like tissue paper, printing paper, and packaging. Suzano is the largest producer of eucalyptus pulp in the world, selling mostly to paper manufacturers across Europe, Asia, and North America.

The company earns money by selling market pulp and paper products to industrial customers. It operates almost entirely out of Brazil, where it grows its own eucalyptus trees, which gives it a cost advantage because eucalyptus grows faster than most other trees used for pulp. Suzano's main risk is that pulp prices are set globally and can swing sharply based on supply and demand — when prices fall, revenues and margins drop quickly, even if the company's own costs stay low. Its large debt load, partly from acquiring rival Fibria in 2019, adds additional financial pressure during downturns.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-5.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-32.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (3%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

1.5%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Runway

5+ years

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

$23.5B cash & investments at current burn rate

Revenue declining

Suzano S.A.'s revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
28.8%
Modest — 28.8% gross margin
Operating Margin
16.7%
Healthy — 16.7% operating margin
ROCE
1.3%
Weak — 1.3% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+0.5%
Nearly flat sales (0.5% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
147%
Turns 147% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
8.4%
Modest free cash flow (8.4%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.89
Elevated debt (1.89)
Interest Cover
1.46x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.5x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
0.9x
Attractive valuation — P/E 0.9

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
-0.4
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
2.76%
Moderate income — 2.76% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
-1.9%
Dividend cut (-1.9% YoY) — warning sign

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