Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) logo

Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ)

SCA-B.ST
49
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products · Basic Materials
Price
kr 100.05
+1.49 (+1.51%)
Market Cap
kr 70.27B
Exchange
Stockholm Stock Exchange
Winston Score
49
Winston looking serious
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Winston Score between 40 and 70. The stock passes some quality checks but not all.

Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget, known as SCA, is a Swedish company that grows trees and turns them into wood, paper, and other forest products. Its main products include timber, pulp, paperboard, and renewable energy, sold to construction companies, packaging manufacturers, and industrial customers across Europe. SCA owns roughly 2.6 million hectares of forest in northern Sweden, making it one of the largest private forest owners in Europe.

SCA makes money by selling wood products, pulp, and containerboard, as well as by generating and selling renewable energy from its forest operations. The company operates primarily in Sweden and sells into European markets, with its vast land ownership acting as a long-term cost advantage over competitors who must buy raw materials on the open market. The key growth driver is rising demand for sustainable, wood-based packaging as companies shift away from plastic, though the business faces real risk from cyclical swings in pulp and paper prices that can sharply compress margins.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
63.4%
Premium pricing power — 63.4% gross margin
Operating Margin
10.6%
Modest — 10.6% operating margin
ROCE
0.4%
Weak — 0.4% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-4.0%
Shrinking sales (-4.0% YoY)
EPS YoY
-23.8%
Earnings shrinking (-23.8% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
146%
Turns 146% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
9.7%
Modest free cash flow (9.7%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.16
Conservative — low debt load (0.16)
Interest Cover
5.38x
Adequate interest coverage (5.4x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio
23.8x
Growth-priced — P/E 23.8

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+5.4
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (23.8 → 18.4)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
2.96%
Moderate income — 2.96% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+32.4%
Dividend growing fast (32.4% YoY)

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