Swedbank AB (publ) logo

Swedbank AB (publ)

SWED-A.ST
35
Banks - Regional · Financial Services
Price
kr 347.90
+9.10 (+2.69%)
Market Cap
kr 390.94B
Exchange
Stockholm Stock Exchange
Winston Score
35
Winston looking serious
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Winston Score below 40. The stock fails on most of our quality checks.

Swedbank is one of the largest banks in Sweden and the Baltic states — Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania. It offers everyday banking services like savings accounts, loans, mortgages, and payment cards to millions of regular people, as well as small businesses and larger companies. It is one of Sweden's oldest and most recognized banking brands, with especially deep roots in the Swedish savings bank tradition.

Swedbank makes money mainly by charging interest on loans and collecting fees for banking services. It operates primarily across Sweden and the three Baltic countries, serving roughly 7-8 million private customers and hundreds of thousands of business clients. Its large, loyal customer base and dominant position in the Baltic region give it a strong local advantage over foreign competitors. The key risk the bank faces is exposure to the Swedish housing market, where high household debt levels could lead to rising loan losses if interest rates stay elevated or property values fall sharply.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-11.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-10.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

23.3%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$279.1B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Winston looking concerned
Revenue declining

Swedbank AB (publ)'s revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
63.0%
Premium pricing power — 63.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
34.8%
Excellent — 34.8% operating margin
ROCE
0.8%
Weak — 0.8% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-17.1%
Shrinking sales (-17.1% YoY)
EPS YoY
-7.8%
Earnings shrinking (-7.8% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
-142%
Weak — only -142% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
-40.0%
Burning cash (-40.0%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
5.14
Heavy debt load (5.14)
Interest Cover
0.92x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.9x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio
N/A
Data not available
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
8.87%
Healthy income — 8.87% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
+196.1%
Dividend growing fast (196.1% YoY)

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