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Synlait Milk Limited logo

Synlait Milk Limited

SML.NZ
17
Packaged Foods · Consumer Defensive
Price
NZ$0.38
+0.01 (+2.70%)
Market Cap
NZ$229.2M
Exchange
New Zealand Exchange
Winston Score
17
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.
Data as of Aug 10, 2026 · filings through Jan 31, 2026

Share count rising — dilution

+160.8% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 206.6M (2021) → 538.9M (2025)

Synlait Milk is a New Zealand dairy company that processes raw milk into high-value dairy products like infant formula, nutritional powders, and ingredients. Its main customers are large consumer brands — most notably a2 Milk Company, which has historically accounted for a large share of Synlait's revenue. The company sits in the packaged dairy and nutritional ingredients industry, acting primarily as a contract manufacturer for other brands rather than selling heavily under its own name.

Synlait earns money by processing and packaging dairy products for its brand partners, charging for manufacturing services and selling finished goods. It operates mainly in New Zealand, with some export reach into China and other Asia-Pacific markets. The company's heavy reliance on a small number of customers — especially a2 Milk — is a significant concentration risk, and its thin gross margin and negative operating margin reflect ongoing financial pressure. Rebuilding customer diversification and restoring profitability are the central challenges the business faces going forward.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-15.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-690.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (2%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

23.1%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Runway

~1 months

$39M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Cash watch

Synlait Milk Limited has less than a year of cash at its current burn rate. Growth investors should watch for potential share dilution from future fundraising — that directly reduces your ownership.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
-0.2%
Thin — -0.2% gross margin
Operating Margin
-6.2%
Losing money on operations — -6.2%
ROCE
-3.8%
Weak — -3.8% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-11.2%
Shrinking sales (-11.2% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
3/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
-3.8%
Burning cash (-3.8%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.77
Moderate — manageable debt (0.77)
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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