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TC Energy Corporation

TNCAF
57
Oil & Gas Midstream · Energy
Price
$14.45
+0.00 (+0.00%)
Market Cap
$59.27B
Exchange
Other OTC
Winston Score
57
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count falling — buybacks

74.6% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 4.10B (2021) → 1.04B (2025)

TC Energy is a large Canadian energy infrastructure company. It owns and operates a vast network of natural gas pipelines, oil pipelines, and power generation facilities across Canada, the United States, and Mexico. The company is one of the largest natural gas pipeline operators in North America, moving fuel that homes, businesses, and power plants depend on every day.

TC Energy makes most of its money by charging fees to energy producers and utilities that use its pipelines and storage facilities — similar to a toll road for gas and oil. Because customers sign long-term contracts, revenue tends to be stable and predictable. The company has a strong competitive position since building new pipelines is expensive, heavily regulated, and takes years, making it hard for rivals to compete directly. However, TC Energy carries a significant amount of debt from building and maintaining its infrastructure, and the long-term shift away from fossil fuels toward renewable energy remains a key risk to its business model.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+17.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

-8.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

75.6%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$25.1B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

TC Energy Corporation is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 17%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
56.7%
Premium pricing power — 56.7% gross margin
Operating Margin
52.1%
Excellent — 52.1% operating margin
ROCE
2.5%
Weak — 2.5% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+19.9%
Fast-growing sales (19.9% YoY)
EPS YoY
-23.1%
Earnings shrinking (-23.1% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
250%
Turns 250% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
24.1%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (24.1%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
2.25
Heavy debt load (2.25)
Interest Cover
2.23x
Tight — interest eats into profit (2.2x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
4.5x
Attractive valuation — P/E 4.5

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
+1.0
GROWING
Earnings roughly flat

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
3.53%
Moderate income — 3.53% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
-24.5%
Dividend cut (-24.5% YoY) — warning sign

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